General
What is Speculate?
What is Speculate?
Speculate is a competitive social trading platform — you go head-to-head against other traders in Competitions and Duels, climb a live leaderboard, and win real USDC prizes.
Is the trading real or simulated?
Is the trading real or simulated?
Both, in different places. Competition trading runs on a $10,000 simulated practice balance, priced off real Kraken market data — it’s not routed to a live exchange. What’s real is the USDC that moves through entry fees, prize pools, Duels, and HyperStake. The trading is simulated, the stakes are real.
How do I sign up?
How do I sign up?
Log in with an email or a wallet — it’s a one-tap login, no separate registration form. The moment you sign up, Speculate creates a self-custodial trading wallet for you automatically.
Is there a mobile app?
Is there a mobile app?
Not yet — there’s no native app. The web app at app.speculate.trade works great on mobile browsers in the meantime.
Competitions
How do I join?
How do I join?
Joining a paid competition is gasless. You sign a permit and an authorization — that’s it. Speculate’s relayer submits the transaction and pays the gas.
When does a competition start?
When does a competition start?
A competition goes LIVE one hour after its lobby fills, giving everyone time to get ready. Private and whitelist competitions skip the wait and go live immediately once full. See the full lifecycle.
What if it doesn't fill?
What if it doesn't fill?
If a competition never fills by its cancel date, it’s automatically cancelled and every entry fee is refunded in full — no action needed on your part.
How are winners decided?
How are winners decided?
Rank is decided by ROI — highest first — not raw dollar PnL. The top 40% of the lobby gets paid; everyone else risked only their entry fee. See Payouts for the full math.
What's the payout split?
What's the payout split?
Front-loaded: Rank 1 gets 50%, Rank 2 gets 20%, Rank 3 gets 8%, Rank 4 gets 5%, and the remaining paid ranks share a 17% tail, weighted toward the higher ranks. Full breakdown and a worked example on Payouts.
What if I don't trade?
What if I don't trade?
A player who never places a single trade — but would otherwise land in a paying rank — takes a −20% inactivity penalty and gets re-ranked below every active trader. You can’t sit on your hands and collect a prize.
Duels
How much can I win?
How much can I win?
Duels are winner-take-all: beat your opponent’s ROI and you take 2× your entry fee, with no platform fee taken off the top.
How long do I have to accept?
How long do I have to accept?
Every Duel has a 24-hour acceptance window. If nobody accepts before it closes, the Duel is cancelled and the creator is refunded in full.
What happens on a tie?
What happens on a tie?
An exact draw — for example, neither player trades — isn’t scored as a win or loss. Both players are refunded their entry in full. See the full tie-break rules.
Wallet & funds
Which chains can I deposit from?
Which chains can I deposit from?
Speculate supports deposits from Ethereum, Arbitrum, Base, Polygon, BNB Chain, Optimism, HyperEVM, and Solana. Deposits on the same network your wallet is on are instant and fee-free; anything else routes automatically through a bridge. See Deposits.
Are withdrawals gasless?
Are withdrawals gasless?
Yes. You sign a permit and a withdrawal authorization — no ETH required. Speculate’s relayer submits the transaction and the gas cost is deducted in USDC, not charged separately. See Withdrawals.
Can I export my wallet?
Can I export my wallet?
Yes. Your Speculate trading wallet is self-custodial — you hold the keys, and you can export it at any time to use anywhere else.
XP & $SPEC
How do I earn XP?
How do I earn XP?
Every competition you enter and every social action you complete adds to your XP total. See Earning XP for the full breakdown of what counts.
When do I get $SPEC?
When do I get $SPEC?
XP is your claim on the **SPEC and is distributed straight to your wallet — no claims process to fumble.
Fees
What are the fees?
What are the fees?
Speculate takes an 8% platform fee on every paid competition’s prize pool. Duels charge no platform fee — winner takes the whole pot. Withdrawals are gasless, with the network gas cost deducted in USDC. Full rate card on Fees.
Need help? Reach the team on X at x.com/SpeculateTrade, on Telegram at t.me/speculateapp, or on Discord at discord.com/invite/speculate.
